| Questions
|
Answers
|
| I've never heard of metastatistics. Is it a real term or have you
made it up?
|
Metastatistics is a strange term - few people use it, but with varied meanings.
Some use it to mean analysing statistics of statistics, but another common meaning
is to retro-analyse what actually happened in a particular situation. The author's use
of the term is probably no better or worse than the other uses, but its use came about by
accident and has stuck.
|
| Is your system based on proven mathematical principles?
|
No, quite the opposite. This is a statistical effect that shouldn't exist,
according to traditional mathematical thinking. However the mathematical analyis
used to quantify the effect is based on proven mathematical principles. It has been
suggested that the effect might be the result of a mechanical bias. The author believes
that is unlikely, because the effect is present on lotteries other than the UK, and the
numbers forecast vary from draw to draw.
|
| Why don't you publish the full details of your system?
|
The author would like to - researching this effect properly would be a full-time project
for someone with far more mathematical aptitude. However the author feels entitled to some
benefit from discovering the effect, but the inadequate patent and copyright
laws in the UK give no protection. The details are therefore being kept under wraps until
this dilemma has been resolved.
|
| Is your system profitable?
|
Not for entering lotteries per se. However, for those countries where betting via
a bookmaker is allowed, the system has historically proven marginally profitable - see
the summary tables at the bottom of the 2000,
2001, 2002,
2003, 2004 and
2005 results pages.
|
| Can I buy a copy of your system?
|
No. It is currently implemented by complicated (too complicated for Excel 97)
spreadsheets and would take a lot of effort to productise. The author believes it would
be unethical to sell a lottery system which is only likely to lose money a little more
slowly when playing a lottery.
|
| Can I get forecasts for my local lottery?
|
It is very difficult to find lotteries willing to publish data in the correct
format and volume for successful forecasts. Although the author is gradually extending
testing to cover additional lotteries when suitable material is discovered, the author
would be unable to publish forecasts for them on a regular basis.
|
| Are you working on improving the system?
|
This site publicises the original version of the system. The author has been working
on further understanding the underlying effect and made some interesting discoveries - some
predicted, others unexpected. The 'Gold Standard' proof for a lottery forecasting system
is whether it beats chance by 3 Standard Deviations or more, and the author now has a system
that comfortably surpasses that standard. Indications are that, given time, it should be
possible to develop a system producing twice as many forecasts as the original system and
with a hit rate of 20%.
|
| Is your question not answered here?
|
E-mail the metastatistician and the
author will endeavour to provide an answer. If the answer is likely to have sufficient
interest, The author reserves the right to edit and publish it, together with the answer.
|